The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a weather alert for several regions in India. A low-pressure area is forming over the east-central Arabian Sea off the North Karnataka-Goa coast, potentially intensifying into a depression. The west coast, including Gujarat, Konkan, Goa, Karnataka, and Kerala, is expected to see heavy rainfall over the next 6 to 7 days, with particularly severe rain in Konkan, Goa, and Coastal Karnataka.
Additionally, conditions are favorable for the onset of the Southwest Monsoon in Kerala in the next few days. In contrast, North India, especially Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, and Chandigarh, is likely to face heat wave conditions during this time. Here are the details
Low Pressure in Arabian Sea to Intensify: Heavy Rains for Coastal States
A low-pressure system is likely to form over the east-central Arabian Sea off the North Karnataka-Goa coast by 21st May evening, and it may intensify into a depression by 22nd May. This weather system is expected to move northwards, bringing intense rainfall to the western coast.
Forecast Summary for West Coast (22st–27th May 2025)
|
Region |
Rainfall Intensity |
Wind Speed |
Key Dates |
|
Konkan & Goa |
Heavy to extremely heavy (>20 cm) |
40–70 kmph (gusty) |
22st–24th May |
|
Coastal Karnataka |
Extremely heavy on 22st May |
40–50 kmph |
22st–27th May |
|
Kerala |
Heavy to very heavy rains |
40–50 kmph |
22st–27th May |
|
Lakshadweep |
Isolated heavy rains |
30–40 kmph |
23rd–24th May |
Monsoon Onset Expected Over Kerala in 3–4 Days
The IMD reports that monsoon has already advanced over parts of the South Arabian Sea, Maldives, Comorin region, and the Bay of Bengal. Conditions are favorable for monsoon to arrive in Kerala within the next 3–4 days.
|
Parameter |
Status |
|
Monsoon advancement |
Parts of South Arabian Sea, Maldives, Bay of Bengal |
|
Northern Limit of Monsoon |
Extends from 5°N/60°E to 23°N/95°E |
|
Expected onset in Kerala |
Within next 3–4 days |
|
Expected areas of further advance |
Lakshadweep, Tamil Nadu, Central & North Bay of Bengal, NE states |
North India Braces for Severe Heatwave
While the southern and coastal regions will get relief due to monsoon rains, parts of Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, and Delhi are likely to face severe heatwave conditions until 25th May.
Heatwave Forecast (22st–25th May 2025)
|
Region |
Intensity |
Temperature (°C) |
Key Warnings |
|
West Rajasthan |
Severe heatwave |
44–46°C |
22st–25th May |
|
Punjab, Haryana, Delhi |
Heatwave |
41–44°C |
22st–23rd May |
|
East Rajasthan |
Heatwave |
42–45°C |
22st–23rd May |
|
South UP & MP |
Hot & humid |
40–43°C |
22nd May |
Additionally, warm nights are likely in parts of Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan during the same period.
Heavy Rainfall Likely Over Northeast India
The Northeast is likely to witness widespread rainfall with thunderstorms for the next 7 days. Isolated very heavy rains are expected over Assam and Meghalaya.
|
State/Region |
Rainfall Type |
Notable Dates |
|
Assam & Meghalaya |
Heavy to very heavy rains |
22st–27th May |
|
Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura |
Heavy rainfall |
22st–25th May |
|
Arunachal Pradesh |
Isolated heavy rainfall |
23rd–25th May |
Central & East India to See Thunderstorms and Moderate Rainfall
Scattered to fairly widespread thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds (40–50 kmph) are expected across Central and East India, including Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, Bihar, and West Bengal.
|
Region |
Rainfall Type |
Special Alerts |
|
West Bengal & Sikkim |
Heavy rain, thunder squalls |
22st–24th May |
|
Bihar, Jharkhand |
Isolated heavy rains |
22st–23rd May |
|
MP, Chhattisgarh |
Light to moderate with storms |
Wind gusts up to 70 kmph on 22nd |
|
Andaman & Nicobar |
Heavy rains |
24th–27th May |
North India: Rain in Hills, Dust Storms in Rajasthan
While the plains will experience heatwaves, the Western Himalayan region including Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, and J&K will receive scattered rain with thunderstorms. Duststorms are also likely over West Rajasthan on 22nd and 23rd May.
|
Region |
Weather Conditions |
Key Dates |
|
Uttarakhand |
Thunderstorms, hailstorm, heavy rain |
23rd–24th May |
|
Himachal Pradesh |
Thunderstorm, hailstorm |
24th–25th May |
|
West Rajasthan |
Duststorms (40–50 kmph) |
22nd–23rd May |
|
Punjab, Haryana, Delhi |
Scattered light rain |
24th–27th May |
Rain and Dusty Winds Over Delhi NCR (22st–24th May 2025)
Delhi is expected to witness partly cloudy skies, occasional thunderstorms, dust-raising winds, and light rain during the evening and night hours from 22st to 24th May. Temperatures will remain around 40–42°C, with warm nights and gusty winds reaching up to 50 kmph during storms.
Delhi NCR Weather Forecast
|
Date |
Temperature (°C) |
Conditions |
Wind Speed & Direction |
|
22 May |
38–40 (Max) |
Partly cloudy, above normal nights |
16–22 kmph (SE) |
|
23 May |
38–40 (Max) |
Thunderstorm, gusty winds |
25 kmph (SE) |
|
24 May |
37–39 (Max) |
Dust storm, very light rain |
Up to 50 kmph |
Temperature Trends Across India
The IMD forecasts no major change in maximum temperatures for most of India over the next two days. However, a 2–4°C drop is expected across Central and Northwest India after 24th May, providing relief from the ongoing heatwave.
|
Region |
Trend (22st–27th May) |
|
Northwest India |
Stable next 3 days, then -2 to -3°C |
|
Central India |
No change for 2 days, then -2 to -4°C |
|
Other Regions |
Near normal, minor fluctuations |
As the monsoon approaches Kerala, severe weather patterns are affecting different regions of the country. While the western coast is experiencing extremely heavy rainfall, heatwave warnings are in place for the north. In light of these developments, it is crucial for farmers, local authorities, and the general public to plan cautiously for the week ahead. Stay informed by following IMD bulletins, and take necessary precautions against lightning, strong winds, heatwaves, and flash floods.
